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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Virtue (72')
O'Connor (26'), Erhahon (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Flanagan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Lincoln will be looking to end their campaign on a high note, and they will be confident of doing that against a Shrewsbury side who also have nothing tangible to play for. The visitors ended a poor run of form last time out, but we cannot imagine Cotterill's side earning a final-day victory in this one - albeit a point could be likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
49.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.61% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)55.48% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.58% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.052 -0.05)56.18% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 49.23%
    Shrewsbury Town 24.61%
    Draw 26.15%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Dunkley (10')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
2-2
Lincoln
 Shrewsbury win 4-2 on penalties
Udoh (69', 79')
Hopper (49'), Bishop (52')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 24
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Norburn (3'), Whalley (23'), Davis (45+3'), Vela (82'), Ebanks-Landell (89')
Grant (11')
Rogers (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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