Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.