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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Burton Albion

Lincoln
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Burton Albion

Having conceded nine goals without reply across their previous two league games, Burton look set to suffer another disappointing defeat this weekend.    Given that Lincoln are among the division's lowest scorers, we are not likely to see a flurry of goals at LNER Stadium, but the hosts should cruise to a comfortable clean-sheet victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
43.05% (0.941 0.94) 26.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 30.18% (-0.92 -0.92)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.252 -0.25)54.64% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.21 -0.21)75.98% (0.212 0.21)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.369 0.37)25.16% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.505 0.5)59.87% (-0.502 -0.5)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.794 -0.79)32.97% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.891 -0.89)69.55% (0.893 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.05%
    Burton Albion 30.18%
    Draw 26.77%
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Burton Albion

Lincoln City
75.8%
Draw
6.1%
Burton Albion
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)

Diamond (75')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 43
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Fondop (88'), Taylor (90+3')
Eyoma (27')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham25176243182557
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe27167452282455
3Wrexham27157539211852
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield26146639221748
5Stockport CountyStockport27128742281444
6Barnsley2712694037342
7Leyton Orient26125934221241
8Reading2612594038241
9Bolton WanderersBolton27125104041-141
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2611783226640
11Lincoln CityLincoln2710893431338
12Mansfield TownMansfield25114103431337
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham2697103030034
14Blackpool2681083738-134
15Stevenage259792022-234
16Wigan AthleticWigan2696112626033
17Exeter CityExeter2795133036-632
18Bristol Rovers2684142541-1628
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2776144352-927
20Northampton TownNorthampton2769122440-1627
21Burton Albion2749142742-1521
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2656152747-2021
23Crawley TownCrawley2556142546-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2655162646-2020


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