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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Leyton Orient

Lincoln
2 - 1
Leyton Orient

Makama (47'), Draper (77')
Erhahon (19'), Roughan (66'), Jefferies (67'), Hamilton (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Agyei (81')
Simpson (30'), Ball (50'), Pratley (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient

With Leyton Orient having only lost once in five outings, Lincoln may not have it all their own way this weekend. Nevertheless, we are backing the home side to come through with another maximum points that could see them edge into the automatic promotion spots. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 0-1 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
44.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 26.97% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 28.17% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.49% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.72% (0.010000000000005 0.01)56.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.68% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)77.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.01% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)24.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.62% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)35.36% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)72.12% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 44.85%
    Leyton Orient 28.17%
    Draw 26.96%
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 12.25%
2-1 @ 8.83%
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09%
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.42%
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.85%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.18%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.59% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Leyton Orient

Lincoln City
74.2%
Draw
6.5%
Leyton Orient
19.4%
31
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Lincoln
1-0
Leyton Orient
Makama (90')
Hackett (19')

Sanders (55'), Brown (68'), Sotiriou (73')
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leyton Orient
0-1
Lincoln

Wellens (35'), Cooper (70'), Happe (78')
Hamilton (89')
Hamilton (34'), Eyoma (53')
Apr 22, 2006 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Leyton Orient
Forrester (36')
Mackie (2')
Simpson (34'), Zakuani (60'), Alexander (62')
Oct 15, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Alexander (18')
Butcher (70')
Cryan (80'), Beevers (83')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Mackie (83')
Yeo (3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton2511593839-138
10Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
11Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
12Charlton AthleticCharlton249782925434
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Blackpool2571083437-331
15Stevenage248791922-331
16Exeter CityExeter2594122832-431
17Wigan AthleticWigan2486102324-130
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2575134146-526
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
24Burton Albion2529142139-1815


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