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Women's Champions League | First Round Third-Place Finals
Sep 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Sportpark Schreurserve

Ljuboten
2 - 0
Cardiff

Mustafa (38', 90+3')
Mustafa (73'), Joshevska (81'), Markovska (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kehoe (11'), Billingham (64'), Owen (81')
Coverage of the Women's Champions League First Round Third-Place Finals clash between Ljuboten Women and Cardiff City Women.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ljuboten Women

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Last Game: Valur 10-0 Ljuboten
Wednesday, September 4 at 12pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Cardiff City Women

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: FC Twente Women 7-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, September 4 at 6pm in Women's Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ljuboten Women win with a probability of 53.47%. A win for Cardiff City Women had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ljuboten Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Cardiff City Women win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ljuboten Women would win this match.

Result
Ljuboten WomenDrawCardiff City Women
53.47% (0.413 0.41) 21.68% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 24.85% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 62.94% (-0.178 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.02% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)35.97% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.93% (-0.07 -0.07)58.07% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Ljuboten Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (0.10899999999999 0.11)13.61% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.25% (0.211 0.21)40.75% (-0.21 -0.21)
Cardiff City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-0.295 -0.3)27.15% (0.299 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)62.55% (0.389 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Ljuboten Women 53.47%
    Cardiff City Women 24.85%
    Draw 21.68%
Ljuboten WomenDrawCardiff City Women
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.37% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.37% (0.041 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 4.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.18% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.44% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.27% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 0.97% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.47%
1-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.25% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 3.69% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.82% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 24.85%

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