MX23RW : Thursday, January 2 03:52:34| >> :600:2330357:2330357:
Mauritania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Botswana national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Botswana

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mohutsiwa (16'), Kopelang (21'), Mangolo (45+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mauritania and Botswana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Last Game: Mozambique 3-1 Botswana
Tuesday, July 2 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

We said: Mauritania 1-0 Botswana

With goals at a premium for both Mauritania and Botswana of late, we are anticipating a nervy and cagey affair in this one. That said, we can see the home side coming out on top at the end of the 90 minutes to continue their already established dominance in this fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Botswana had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Botswana win was 0-1 (12.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mauritania in this match.

Result
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
37.08% (0.126 0.13) 30.38% (0.044 0.04) 32.53% (-0.168 -0.17)
Both teams to score 40.97% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.59% (-0.15 -0.15)66.4% (0.149 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.14% (-0.104 -0.1)84.86% (0.10300000000001 0.1)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.0010000000000048 0)34.4% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)71.11%
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.45% (-0.21 -0.21)37.55% (0.211 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.206 -0.21)74.33% (0.206 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 37.08%
    Botswana 32.53%
    Draw 30.38%
MauritaniaDrawBotswana
1-0 @ 13.78% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.041 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.2%
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-2 @ 1.26% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 37.08%
1-1 @ 13.5%
0-0 @ 12.91% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.38%
0-1 @ 12.65%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.2% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 32.53%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Botswana

Mauritania
66.7%
Draw
23.8%
Botswana
9.5%
21
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool18143145172845
2Arsenal19116238172139
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea19105438231535
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle1995532211132
6Manchester CityMan City199463226631
7Bournemouth198652923630
8Fulham197842825329
9Aston Villa198562831-329
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton196942928127
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1973941281324
12Brentford197393335-224
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham196582335-1223
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd196492126-522
15Crystal Palace194872027-720
16Everton183871524-917
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich1936101833-1515
19Leicester CityLeicester1935112242-2014
20Southampton1913151239-276


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