MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 07:18:53| >> :600:4761936:4761936:
Mauritania national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 23, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Bouake
Algeria national football team

Mauritania
1 - 0
Algeria

Dellahi (37')
Mouhsine (21'), Ba (45+4'), Koita (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

El Amine Amoura (45+4'), Slimani (76'), Belaili (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Mauritania and Algeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Mauritania 2-3 Angola
Saturday, January 20 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Algeria 2-2 Burkina Faso
Saturday, January 20 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Mauritania 0-2 Algeria

Following a disappointing first two games, Algeria will head into Tuesday's tie looking to pick up a statement result. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing the Desert Foxes to claim a comfortable victory and extend their dominance over Mauritania. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (8.83%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
MauritaniaDrawAlgeria
26.72% (-0.436 -0.44) 26.37% (0.198 0.2) 46.91% (0.237 0.24)
Both teams to score 49.24% (-0.91 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.17% (-1.021 -1.02)54.82% (1.02 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.87% (-0.85 -0.85)76.12% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Mauritania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.24% (-0.908 -0.91)35.75% (0.91 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.47% (-0.945 -0.95)72.53% (0.94499999999999 0.94)
Algeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.32799999999999 -0.33)23.36% (0.328 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.67% (-0.478 -0.48)57.32% (0.478 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Mauritania 26.72%
    Algeria 46.91%
    Draw 26.37%
MauritaniaDrawAlgeria
1-0 @ 8.59% (0.129 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.42% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 4.42% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.2% (-0.099 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.6% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.72%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 8.35% (0.326 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 12.14% (0.36 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.83% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.4% (-0.061000000000001 -0.06)
0-3 @ 4.28% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.91%

How you voted: Mauritania vs Algeria

Mauritania
8.6%
Draw
6.9%
Algeria
84.5%
58
Head to Head
Jun 3, 2021 8.45pm
Friendlies 1
Algeria
4-1
Mauritania
Feghouli (41', 59'), Ounas (61'), Bounedjah (71')
Touba (68'), Bensebaini (80')
Yacoub (56')
Diaw (23'), Camara (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!