Brazil1 - 0Ecuador
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, July 7 at 2am in Copa America
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Brazil 2-1 Ecuador
Brazil will be motivated to produce a positive response after a disappointing Copa America campaign, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to claim maximum points and extend their unbeaten run in head-to-head matches to 13 games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 64.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.77%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brazil in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brazil.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Ecuador |
64.01% ( -1.46) | 22.56% ( 0.81) | 13.43% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 40.09% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
