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Walsall
Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Walsall

MK Dons
1 - 0
Walsall

Hendry (18')
Hendry (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Weir (13'), Jellis (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Salford City 1-0 MK Dons
Monday, September 2 at 8pm in League Two

Walsall

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Birmingham 1-1 Walsall (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Walsall

 Recent history favours MK Dons in this fixture, but Walsall's excellent start to the campaign cannot be ignored, so this is shaping up to be a very interesting match. We are expecting the points to be shared, though, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 24.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWalsall
52.63% (-0.126 -0.13) 22.81% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 24.55% (0.055 0.05)
Both teams to score 58.52% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (-0.29 -0.29)41.64% (0.29499999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96% (-0.292 -0.29)64.04% (0.298 0.3)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14% (-0.146 -0.15)15.86% (0.151 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93% (-0.273 -0.27)45.07% (0.277 0.28)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)30.45% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (-0.135 -0.13)66.65% (0.139 0.14)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.63%
    Walsall 24.55%
    Draw 22.81%
MK DonsDrawWalsall
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 52.63%
1-1 @ 10.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.064 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 6.29% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.74% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.42% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Walsall

MK Dons
36.0%
Draw
20.0%
Walsall
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
MK Dons
5-0
Walsall
Tezgel (28'), Dean (59' pen., 78'), Gilbey (62'), Tomlinson (74')

Gordon (68'), Adegboyega (81')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Walsall
0-0
MK Dons
McEntee (27'), Hutchinson (41'), Williams (53')
Harrison (24'), Gilbey (66'), Norman (67')
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Walsall
0-2
MK Dons
Lawrence (62'), Holland (90+3')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Walsall
1-0
MK Dons
Ngoy (70')
Oct 17, 2017 7.45pm
MK Dons
1-1
Walsall
Aneke (24')
Ebanks-Landell (57')
Roberts (58' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Bradford CityBradford104331411315
10Newport CountyNewport105051620-415
11Grimsby Town105051317-415
12Chesterfield103521710714
13AFC Wimbledon741295413
14MK Dons103341312112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64
> League Two Full Table


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