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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
39.46% ( -0.88) | 25.23% ( 0.19) | 35.31% ( 0.69) |
Both teams to score 56.79% ( -0.54) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.16% ( -0.75) | 46.84% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.9% ( -0.7) | 69.1% ( 0.7) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.5% ( -0.77) | 23.5% ( 0.77) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( -1.13) | 57.53% ( 1.13) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.24% ( 0.05) | 25.76% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.3% ( 0.06) | 60.7% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.46% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 41 | 19 | 22 | 49 |
2 | Notts County | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Port Vale | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 37 |
5 | Grimsby Town | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 37 |
6 | Salford City | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
7 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
9 | Chesterfield | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 34 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
12 | Bromley | 22 | 7 | 10 | 5 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 31 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 22 | 5 | 12 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 27 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 27 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 22 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 22 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 21 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 34 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Morecambe | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 20 | 39 | -19 | 17 |
> League Two Full Table |