Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.