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AFC Wimbledon
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Morecambe
Newport County
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Walsall

AFC Wimbledon
5 - 1
Walsall

Bugiel (9', 34', 52'), Curtis (55'), Faal (62' og.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hutchinson (25' pen.)
Faal (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Walsall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tranmere 3-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Walsall 2-3 Bradford
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Walsall

Wimbledon have nothing to lose heading into this encounter, which we believe will enable them to come out a lot more relaxed and get the better of a Walsall side that could be rather tense, given the uphill battle they have to make the playoffs and the fact that they have only earned one away triumph in this competition since the beginning of March. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 53.69%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 23.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWalsall
53.69% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24) 23.14% (0.004999999999999 0) 23.16% (0.231 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.278 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43% (0.229 0.23)44.57% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.06% (0.221 0.22)66.94% (-0.223 -0.22)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)16.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)46.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Walsall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77% (0.331 0.33)33.22% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.17% (0.364 0.36)69.83% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 53.69%
    Walsall 23.16%
    Draw 23.14%
AFC WimbledonDrawWalsall
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.9% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 53.69%
1-1 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.5% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.044 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.19% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.14%
0-1 @ 6.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.34% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.21% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall

AFC Wimbledon
55.6%
Draw
22.2%
Walsall
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Walsall
3-1
AFC Wimbledon
Hutchinson (5'), Johnson (50'), Knowles (90+3')
Towler (21')
Feb 12, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Walsall
0-1
AFC Wimbledon

Cook (81'), Scarr (93')
Seddon (48')
Hartigan (3'), Oshilaja (15'), Seddon (49')
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
AFC Wimbledon
1-3
Walsall
Appiah (87')
Wordsworth (3')
Morris (16'), Nightingale (70' og.), Cook (79')
Cook (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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