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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Crawley Town

MK Dons
1 - 5
Crawley

Dean (45+1')
Williams (61'), Williams (83'), Dean (90+5'), Williams (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Williams (3'), Orsi (30', 48', 90+2'), Roles (80')
Lolos (40'), Tucker (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 3-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.30pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 3-1 Crawley Town (Crawley Town win 4-3 on aggregate)

 Considering MK Dons' stellar record on home turf this season, it is hard to imagine the Dons failing to stage some level of comeback this weekend. That being said, Crawley have put themselves in an excellent position to advance into the Wembley final, and we reckon that the Red Devils will narrowly get over the line in Buckinghamshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.66%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
48.61% (0.0049999999999955 0) 22.19% (0.00099999999999767 0) 29.2% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 65.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.22% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)34.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.26% (-0.012 -0.01)56.74% (0.012 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.24% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)14.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)43% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.43% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)23.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.37% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)57.63% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 48.61%
    Crawley Town 29.2%
    Draw 22.19%
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.07%
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.61%
1-1 @ 9.62% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.95%
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.63%
1-3 @ 3.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 29.2%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crawley

MK Dons
57.5%
Draw
17.5%
Crawley Town
25.0%
40
Head to Head
May 7, 2024 7.30pm
Crawley
3-0
MK Dons
Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')
> Preview
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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