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Walsall
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Sutton United

MK Dons
4 - 4
Sutton

Payne (14'), Gilbey (41'), Tezgel (60'), Harrison (70')
O'Hora (67'), Harrison (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Duke-McKenna (50', 75'), Lakin (62'), Smith (90+1')
Eastmond (65'), Hart (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Sutton United

Although MK Dons will have one eye on the playoffs, the hosts are likely to use Saturday's match as a warm-up game ahead of the upcoming race for promotion. Sutton have won just four times on the road this season in 22 attempts, meaning that a safety-clinching victory in Buckinghamshire is unlikely this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 54.1%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawSutton United
54.1% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02) 21.49% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.42% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Both teams to score 63.14% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.51% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.49% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.46% (0.030999999999999 0.03)57.54% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.75% (0.0049999999999955 0)13.25% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)40.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.78% (0.030999999999992 0.03)27.22% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.36% (0.042000000000002 0.04)62.64% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 54.1%
    Sutton United 24.42%
    Draw 21.49%
MK DonsDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.26%
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
5-1 @ 1.32%
5-0 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 54.1%
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.24% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.82% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 6.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 24.42%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Sutton

MK Dons
70.0%
Draw
10.0%
Sutton United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Sutton
1-1
MK Dons
Sowunmi (37')
Gilbey (53')
Williams (71')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
MK Dons
1-0
Sutton
Grant (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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