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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 34.23% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | MK Dons |
39.75% ( -0.1) | 26.02% ( -0.14) | 34.23% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.52% ( 0.64) | 50.48% ( -0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.59% ( 0.56) | 72.41% ( -0.56) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.01% ( 0.24) | 24.99% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.36% ( 0.33) | 59.64% ( -0.33) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( 0.46) | 28.14% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.17% ( 0.58) | 63.83% ( -0.58) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | MK Dons |
1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.65% 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
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