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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
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Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Stockport County
League Two | Gameweek 40
Mar 23, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Edgeley Park
MK Dons

Stockport
5 - 0
MK Dons

Camps (31'), Madden (36'), Olaofe (45+1'), Lemonheigh-Evans (51'), Byrne (90+5')
Kane (44')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Payne (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Stockport County and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-1 Stockport
Monday, March 18 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stockport County 1-1 MK Dons

Stockport boss Challinor has labelled Saturday's enticing showdown as one that both sides simply have to win, but the hosts' recent failures to convert one point into three and MK Dons' propensity to fall short on the road may put paid to that idea. The Hatters are certainly nowhere near the force that they were during the earliest months of the campaign, but even with their crisis on the left-hand side of the backline, we can envisage the defensively-sound hosts maintaining their top-three position by taking a point off an MK Dons crop who do not travel well. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
52.04% (0.238 0.24) 23.71% (-0.032 -0.03) 24.25% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 55.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)45.93% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.24% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.36% (0.075000000000003 0.08)17.65% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.75% (0.125 0.13)48.26% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.98% (-0.19300000000001 -0.19)33.02% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (-0.216 -0.22)69.61% (0.223 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Stockport County 52.03%
    MK Dons 24.25%
    Draw 23.7%
Stockport CountyDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.62% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.11% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 52.03%
1-1 @ 11.19% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.46% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: Stockport vs MK Dons

Stockport County
Draw
MK Dons
Stockport County
43.8%
Draw
28.1%
MK Dons
28.1%
32
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Eisa (26')
Robson (58'), Smith (62'), Gilbey (72'), Harvie (83')
Barry (17'), Powell (45+2')
Barry (75'), Pye (88')
Feb 6, 2010 3pm
Stockport
1-3
MK Dons
Donnelly (11')
Sadler (35'), Mullins (60'), Pilkington (89')
Townsend (74'), Easter (24'), Wilbraham (56')
Woodards (21'), Easter (43'), Townsend (74')
Dec 26, 2009 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Stockport
Puncheon (25', 82'), Quashie (49'), Easter (28')
Easter (42'), Puncheon (75')

Raynes (10'), Griffin (87'), Mullins (90')
Feb 3, 2009 3pm
Oct 21, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Stockport
Gerba (45')
Leven (45'), Cummings (67'), Angel Llera (83'), Gallen (88'), Navarro (90')
Lewington (90' og.), Taylor (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall23164343202352
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe24119433221142
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Tranmere RoversTranmere2367101732-1525
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Swindon TownSwindon2559113141-1024
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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