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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.94%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | MK Dons |
32.49% ( 0.92) | 23.06% ( 0.08) | 44.44% ( -0.99) |
Both teams to score 63.8% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.66% ( 0.02) | 37.34% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.44% ( 0.02) | 59.55% ( -0.02) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.12% ( 0.54) | 22.88% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.37% ( 0.79) | 56.63% ( -0.78) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.74% ( -0.38) | 17.26% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.41% ( -0.67) | 47.59% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | MK Dons |
2-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.49% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.06% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.94% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.13% Total : 44.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |