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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 27
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Wrexham AFC

MK Dons
1 - 1
Wrexham

Kemp (26')
Harvie (83'), Gilbey (90+5'), O'Hora (90+8')
Lewington (59')
FT(HT: 1-1)
McClean (22')
Boyle (48'), O'Connell (62')
Boyle (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: Swindon 1-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

Wrexham

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Wrexham

 It is difficult to ignore the home form of MK Dons and away form of Wrexham when choosing a result on Tuesday night. A case can be made for either to win it, but we believe that two quality sides will end up with a point each, which both managers would likely accept ahead of kickoff. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.1%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawWrexham
53.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.65% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.81% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02)63.58% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.017999999999986 0.02)15.54% (-0.016 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52% (0.030000000000001 0.03)44.48% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.0020000000000095 0)30.45% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)66.66% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.1%
    Wrexham 24.25%
    Draw 22.64%
MK DonsDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 8.81% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.6% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 53.1%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.73% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3%
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24.25%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Wrexham

MK Dons
41.0%
Draw
17.9%
Wrexham
41.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Wrexham
3-5
MK Dons
Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')
O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')
> Preview
Apr 8, 2008 3pm
MK Dons
4-1
Wrexham
O'Hanlon (75'), Swailes (2'), Wilbraham (10', 90')
Lewington (36'), Navarro (46'), Gueret (59'), Regan (60'), Miles (83')
Roberts (59' pen.)
Roberts (26'), Bolland (33')
Jan 19, 2008 3pm
Wrexham
1-0
MK Dons
Roberts (71')
Evans (49'), Nicholson (56'), Spender (79')

Wilbraham (64'), Johnson (83')
Mar 17, 2007 3pm
MK Dons
2-1
Wrexham
Andrews (38' pen.), Platt (85')
Dyer (52')
McEvilly (12')
Roche (18'), Garrett (37'), McEvilly (43')
Roche (36')
Oct 14, 2006 3pm
Wrexham
1-2
MK Dons
Roberts (20')
Done (64'), Evans (69'), Jones (88'), Mackin (90')
O'Hanlon (77')
O'Hanlon (22')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421
> League Two Full Table


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