Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.