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Championship header 2

League Two
MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadium mk
Crawley Town

MK Dons
2 - 0
Crawley

Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 1-0 Colchester
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Crawley
Tuesday, December 26 at 1pm in League Two

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Crawley Town

 The teams boast similar attacking records heading into this one, and we are tipping them both to find the back of the net. However, MK Dons have been more solid defensively, and we just about fancy them to secure the win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 53.52%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
53.52% (0.060000000000002 0.06) 22.49% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 24% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.28% (0.045999999999999 0.05)40.72% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (0.048000000000002 0.05)63.1% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.77% (0.037000000000006 0.04)15.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.1% (0.070999999999998 0.07)43.9% (-0.071000000000005 -0.07)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.6% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)30.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.4% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)66.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 53.52%
    Crawley Town 24%
    Draw 22.48%
MK DonsDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.72% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.2% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.88% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.08% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 53.52%
1-1 @ 10.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.81%
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.48%
1-2 @ 6.18% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 24%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Crawley

MK Dons
71.4%
Draw
28.6%
Crawley Town
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
Aug 30, 2014 3pm
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Alli (15'), Afobe (92')
Powell (64'), Carruthers (89')
McFadzean (69')

Henderson (25'), Tomlin (39'), Harrold (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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