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Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Wrexham AFC

Sutton
1 - 2
Wrexham

Lakin (76')
Adom-Malaki (7'), Eastmond (51'), Sanderson (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Boyle (45+3'), Lee (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Wrexham 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 0-1 Wrexham

There will be big pressure on Wrexham head coach Parkinson to deliver a positive result here, and we are expecting this to be a nervy affair. The Welsh outfit can call upon the superior quality, though, and we are backing them to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
39.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.91% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 34.54% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 54.32% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)49.97% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)71.95% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.14% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.86% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.53% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)59.47% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.3% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)27.71% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)63.27% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 39.55%
    Wrexham 34.54%
    Draw 25.91%
Sutton UnitedDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.59% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.56%
2-0 @ 6.67% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.55%
1-1 @ 12.3% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.9% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 34.54%

How you voted: Sutton vs Wrexham

Sutton United
23.1%
Draw
7.7%
Wrexham
69.2%
26
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Wrexham
2-1
Sutton
Mullin (14'), Lee (89')
Tunnicliffe (89'), Mullin (90+4'), McClean (90+6')
O'Brien (59')
Mar 6, 2021 5.20pm
Gameweek 36
Sutton
0-0
Wrexham
Eastmond (45')
Young (44'), Hall-Johnson (55'), Davies (85')
Nov 24, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Wrexham
4-0
Sutton
Thomas (27', 78'), Harris (42'), Yussuf (73')
Vassell (70')
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 31
Sutton
3-1
Wrexham
Bugiel (12', 36', 66' pen.)
Bugiel (19'), Davis (45')
Jennings (90')
Sep 14, 2019 5.20pm
Gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Sutton
Grant (88' pen.)
Young (61')
Beautyman (63')
Butler (88'), Bolarinwa (89'), Ajiboye (92')
Eastmond (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall21144339192046
2Port Vale2210752721637
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2210663126536
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe219842518735
5AFC Wimbledon21104732181434
6Chesterfield2297636251134
7Notts County219753021934
8Grimsby Town22111103034-434
9Salford City219662519633
10Bradford CityBradford218762623331
11MK Dons209383328530
12Bromley217953025530
13Gillingham219392220230
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham228683131030
15Colchester UnitedColchester2151152522326
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood206862625126
17BarrowBarrow217592021-126
18Newport CountyNewport217592936-726
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2263131834-1621
21Swindon TownSwindon2248102736-920
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Morecambe2245132038-1817
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2136121533-1815


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