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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 32.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.7%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Mansfield Town |
44.48% ( 0.2) | 22.88% ( -0.08) | 32.64% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 64.57% ( 0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.64% ( 0.34) | 36.36% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.5% ( 0.37) | 58.49% ( -0.37) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.13% ( 0.21) | 16.86% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% ( 0.38) | 46.88% ( -0.38) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( 0.1) | 22.33% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.19% ( 0.15) | 55.81% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Mansfield Town |
2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.48% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 32.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 12 |
2 | Notts County | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 11 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 |
8 | Newport CountyNewport | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 9 |
9 | Chesterfield | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
10 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 |
11 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Port Vale | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 7 |
14 | MK Dons | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
15 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
16 | Grimsby Town | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 6 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
19 | Salford City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 3 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 2 |
24 | Morecambe | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
> League Two Full Table |