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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 14
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
One Call Stadium
Forest Green Rovers

Mansfield
1 - 0
Forest Green

Nichols (20')
Nichols (77'), Lewis (84'), Clarke (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Inniss (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last Game: Mansfield 1-4 Crawley
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Forest Green 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

 Mansfield may have failed to win any of their last three games against Forest Green, but we think that they will end that run when they face a side that have lost seven of their last nine away league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 12.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-2 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
69.96% (-1.695 -1.7) 17.55% (0.721 0.72) 12.49% (0.974 0.97)
Both teams to score 53.01% (0.564 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.54% (-0.864 -0.86)37.46% (0.86199999999999 0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.32% (-0.933 -0.93)59.68% (0.932 0.93)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.39% (-0.61800000000001 -0.62)9.61% (0.6181 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.89% (-1.467 -1.47)32.11% (1.467 1.47)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.65% (1.019 1.02)41.35% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.13% (0.887 0.89)77.87% (-0.88800000000001 -0.89)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 69.96%
    Forest Green Rovers 12.49%
    Draw 17.55%
Mansfield TownDrawForest Green Rovers
2-0 @ 10.9% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.51% (-0.363 -0.36)
3-1 @ 7.52% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-0 @ 4.99% (-0.36 -0.36)
4-1 @ 4.4% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.32% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.34% (-0.24 -0.24)
5-1 @ 2.06% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.122 -0.12)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 69.96%
1-1 @ 8.22% (0.338 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.175 0.18)
0-0 @ 3.97% (0.163 0.16)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.55%
1-2 @ 3.63% (0.245 0.25)
0-1 @ 3.51% (0.237 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.55% (0.145 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.25% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 12.49%

How you voted: Mansfield vs Forest Green

Mansfield Town
81.3%
Draw
6.3%
Forest Green Rovers
12.5%
48
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Forest Green
0-4
Mansfield

Robson (16'), Thompson (54')
Clarke (11', 90+7'), Nichols (69'), Swan (78')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Mansfield
2-2
Forest Green
Longstaff (17'), Bowery (78')
McLaughlin (37')
Adams (64'), March (80')
March (81')
> Preview
Apr 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Forest Green
1-0
Mansfield
March (14')
Matt (39'), Wilson (79'), Adams (84')

Hawkins (11'), Wallace (38'), Hewitt (90')
Lapslie (49')
> Preview
Mar 23, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 28
Mansfield
0-0
Forest Green
Law (65'), McLaughlin (81'), Reid (82')
Wilson (62')
> Preview
Nov 14, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 12
Forest Green
1-2
Mansfield
Bailey (85')
Cadden (38'), Winchester (45+2')
Lapslie (6'), Charsley (35')
Benning (22')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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