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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
22.12% ( -0.02) | 23.47% ( -0.01) | 54.41% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% ( 0.04) | 47.11% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( 0.04) | 69.35% ( -0.03) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% | 35.58% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.65% ( -0) | 72.35% ( 0) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.79% ( 0.03) | 17.21% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.5% ( 0.05) | 47.49% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Mansfield Town |
1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.12% | 1-1 @ 11.13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.48% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.8% Total : 54.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 52 |
2 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 40 |
4 | Salford City | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 23 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 39 |
6 | Port Vale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 38 |
7 | Notts County | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 24 | 12 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 37 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 4 | 35 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | Bromley | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 34 |
12 | MK Dons | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 28 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 23 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 27 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 24 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 22 |
21 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
22 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 22 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 18 |
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