Racing de Ferrol1 - 3Rayo Vallecano
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 21 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
for
Sunday, December 22 at 8pm in La Liga
for
We said: Racing Club de Ferrol 0-2 Rayo Vallecano
Racing Ferrol are capable of making this a tricky match for Rayo; we are not expecting many goals, but the visitors will be able to call upon the superior quality, and we are backing the La Liga side to book their spot in the next round of the competition. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Racing Club de Ferrol had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Racing Club de Ferrol win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
20.29% ( -0.69) | 24.7% ( 0.25) | 55.01% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 47.1% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.9% ( -1.72) | 54.1% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.48% ( -1.46) | 75.52% ( 1.47) |
| Racing Club de Ferrol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -1.72) | 41.41% ( 1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.08% ( -1.56) | 77.92% ( 1.56) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -0.49) | 19.6% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.45% ( -0.8) | 51.55% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club de Ferrol | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.22)2-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.17% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.53)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 13.22% ( 0.67) 0-2 @ 10.77% ( 0.39)1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 5.85% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.8% Total : 55% |
