MX23RW : Wednesday, October 9 04:46:30| >> :60:395:395:
Cowdenbeath
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Central Park
Greenock Morton

Cowdenbeath
0 - 1
Morton


Dunsmore (23'), Swanson (29'), Fusco (66'), Walker (84')
Burke (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garrity (63')
Delaney (67')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Cowdenbeath and Greenock Morton.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albion Rovers 3-4 Cowdenbeath
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1East Fife153.00Austin
2Peterhead81.60McAllister
3Elgin71.75Murray
4Bonnyrigg Rose61.20Young
5Edinburgh61.20Young
6Stirling51.00Carrick
7Spartans41.00Henderson
8Clyde30.60Grant
9Forfar30.60Morrison
10Stranraer30.60Dunlop
Last Game: Morton 2-3 Falkirk
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
CowdenbeathDrawGreenock Morton
16.74% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 19.71% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 63.54% (0.105 0.11)
Both teams to score 56.63% (0.10899999999999 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.77% (0.192 0.19)38.23% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.49% (0.205 0.2)60.5% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.94% (0.061 0.06)36.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.16% (0.062999999999999 0.06)72.84% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Greenock Morton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56% (0.081999999999994 0.08)11.43% (-0.086 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.77% (0.184 0.18)36.23% (-0.188 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Cowdenbeath 16.74%
    Greenock Morton 63.54%
    Draw 19.71%
CowdenbeathDrawGreenock Morton
2-1 @ 4.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 2.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 9.12% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.12% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.71%
1-2 @ 9.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 7.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 7.01% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 3.88% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 3.8% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.65% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.98% (0.016 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.68% (0.017 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.65% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 63.54%

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