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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2024 at 5pm UK
Adokiye Amiesimaka Stadium
Benin national football team

Nigeria
3 - 0
Benin

Lookman (45+2', 83'), Osimhen (78')
Bassey (39'), Lookman (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Olaitan (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Nigeria and Benin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nigeria

All competitions
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Nigeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Benin

All competitions
Last Game: Benin 2-1 Nigeria
Monday, June 10 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Nigeria 2-0 Benin

 Nigeria will be hoping that the return of Osimhen and Ekong will improve the team's performance and boost their chances of ending their three-match losing streak. Although Benin have won their last two matches, playing in Nigeria is a completely different experience, and the pressure could prove to be too much for the visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 58.98%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Benin had a probability of 16.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.57%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Benin win it was 0-1 (6.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawBenin
58.98% (0.112 0.11) 24.52% (-0.268 -0.27) 16.5% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 41.52% (0.948 0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (1.105 1.11)58.16% (-1.101 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.861 0.86)78.81% (-0.85600000000001 -0.86)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (0.47800000000001 0.48)19.64% (-0.474 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (0.771 0.77)51.6% (-0.767 -0.77)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.67% (0.878 0.88)48.33% (-0.874 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.53% (0.632 0.63)83.47% (-0.629 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 58.98%
    Benin 16.5%
    Draw 24.52%
NigeriaDrawBenin
1-0 @ 15.45% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 12.57% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.116 0.12)
3-0 @ 6.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.135 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.78% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.083 0.08)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.092 0.09)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 58.98%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.405 -0.4)
2-2 @ 3.32% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 6.9% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-2 @ 4.08% (0.092 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.51% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 0.99% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 16.5%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Benin

Nigeria
85.7%
Draw
12.2%
Benin
2.0%
49
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Benin
2-1
Nigeria
Dossou (37'), Mounie (45+3')
Onyedika (27')
Ismail (90+3')
> Preview
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