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Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
Mestalla
Rayo Vallecano logo

Valencia
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')

Preview: Valencia vs. Rayo Vallecano - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Valencia will be looking to close in on the European places with a victory when they welcome Rayo Vallecano to the Mestalla for their La Liga encounter on Saturday afternoon.

The hosts are unbeaten in each of their last four matches on home soil, while the visitors are hoping to avoid a fourth successive away defeat.


Match preview

Valencia's Hugo Duro celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on September 19, 2021© Reuters

After claiming a dramatic point in a 3-3 draw against Atletico Madrid with two stoppage time strikes, Valencia followed that up with a goalless draw away to high-flying Real Sociedad, who lost top spot in La Liga as a result.

The hosts were reduced to 10 men when Aritz Elustondo lashed out at Daniel Wass in the 76th minute, however, Jose Bordalas's men were unable to find a winner, even with the extra man, and were forced to share the spoils for the sixth time this season.

That result sees Los Che remain just inside the top 10, but they are now five points behind Saturday's opponents Rayo Vallecano in sixth.

Valencia made a bright start to the campaign after claiming 10 points from their first 12 on offer, however since then, they have accumulated just eight points from a possible 30 available.

Los Che have only won one of their last five meetings against Rayo Vallecano, though they did win the most recent encounter on home soil, securing a 3-0 victory in November last year.

Rayo Vallecano's Radamel Falcao celebrates scoring against Barcelona in La Liga on October 27, 2021© Reuters

Rayo Vallecano's surprisingly bright start to the campaign continued on Monday, with a 3-1 victory at home against Mallorca.

Goals from Sergio Guardiola, Alvaro Garcia and Oscar Trejo helped Los Franjirrojos secure their seventh league win of the season and keeps the newly-promoted outfit just three points behind the top four.

Rayo have collected 23 points from their first 14 La Liga matches this season, which is their joint-highest tally at this stage of a top-flight campaign, matching their efforts from 2000-01.

Andoni Iraola will be delighted with his side's impressive start, though their form away from home is something which needs addressing after losing each of their last three on the road.

Rayo did, however, claim a 2-0 in their last encounter against Valencia in April 2019, so that should provide them with confidence of securing another positive result this weekend.

Valencia La Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D

Rayo Vallecano La Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W


Team News

Valencia coach Jose Bordalas on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Valencia trio Maxi Gomez, Gabriel Paulista and Thierry Correia are all doubtful with muscle injuries.

The hosts can welcome back Hugo Guillamon from suspension and the 21-year-old is expected to start in centre-midfield alongside Wass, with Uros Racic dropping to the bench.

Top scorers Carlos Soler and Hugo Duro – who have netted four goals each this term – are set to continue on the flanks, while forward Goncalo Guedes will be hoping to end a five-game drought without a goal.

As for Rayo Vallecano, Martin Merquelanz continues to recover from a knee injury, while Santiago Comesana and Randy Nteka are both doubtful with knocks.

After recovering from a groin problem, Radamel Falcao returned to the bench but was an unused substitute last weekend. The 35-year-old will now be hoping he can force his way into the first XI ahead of Guardiola.

Former Manchester United winger Bebe will also be pushing to start, though he is expected to remain on the bench, with Isi Palazon and Alvaro Garcia set to operate again on the flanks.

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Foulquier, Diakhaby, Alderete, Gaya; Soler, Wass, Guillamon, Duro; Guedes, Gomez

Rayo Vallecano possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; Balliu, Saveljich, Catena, F. Garcia; Ciss, Comesana; Palazon, Trejo, A. Garcia; Guardiola


SM words green background

We say: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Both teams will feel that they are more than capable of claiming all three points from this fixture as they aim to climb further up the La Liga table.

However, with little to separate these two top-10 sides, a score draw could be on the cards at the Mestalla.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Valencia vs Rayo Vallecano

Valencia
61.0%
Draw
23.7%
Rayo Vallecano
15.3%
59
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Barcelona19122551222938
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Mallorca199371921-230
6Villarreal177642928127
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Osasuna186752327-425
10Celta Vigo187382728-124
11Real BetisBetis176652021-124
12Sevilla176471823-522
13Rayo Vallecano175661920-121
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe183781115-416
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1743101629-1315
19Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512
20Valencia162591424-1011


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