Sporting Lisbon

3 - 0

Athletic Bilbao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.73% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.