MX23RW : Thursday, June 20 11:50:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Alaves logo
Almeria
Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Cadiz logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Granada logo
Las Palmas
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Sevilla logo
Valencia logo
Villarreal logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
La Liga | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Athletic Bilbao logo

Rayo Vallecano
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao


Crespo (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic will enter Saturday's contest as the favourites, but they have found victories hard to come by in recent away games, having won just one of their previous four road trips. As a result, we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Rayo side that has lost just one of their last seven home matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
38.5% (0.209 0.21) 28.02% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 33.48% (-0.201 -0.2)
Both teams to score 47.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.51% (0.010000000000005 0.01)58.49% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.93% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)79.07% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.129 0.13)29.45% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (0.161 0.16)65.46% (-0.163 -0.16)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.37% (-0.131 -0.13)32.63% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.82% (-0.147 -0.15)69.18% (0.14399999999999 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 38.49%
    Athletic Bilbao 33.48%
    Draw 28.01%
Rayo VallecanoDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1% (0.0099999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 38.49%
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 6.03% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 33.48%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano
28.6%
Draw
24.7%
Athletic Bilbao
46.8%
77
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Athletic Bilbao
4-0
Rayo Vallecano
Guruzeta (23'), Espino (47' og.), Williams (64'), Williams (68')
Vivian (6')

Espino (32'), Falcao (87')
Mar 5, 2023 5.30pm
Sep 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 22
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 6
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!