Burgos

2 - 1

Athletic Bilbao

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.18% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.49%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.