Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 52.48%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 24.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.71%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Barcelona |
24.17% ( -0.07) | 23.35% ( -0.03) | 52.48% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.54% ( 0.1) | 44.46% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.17% ( 0.09) | 66.82% ( -0.1) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% | 32.29% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% | 68.79% ( -0) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.06% ( 0.07) | 16.94% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.98% ( 0.13) | 47.01% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 24.17% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 52.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
3 | Real Madrid | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 37 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
6 | Villarreal | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 27 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Sevilla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 21 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 19 |
15 | Leganes | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 15 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
20 | Valencia | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 11 |
> La Liga Full Table |