Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
43.97% ( -1.75) | 23.6% ( 0.44) | 32.42% ( 1.31) |
Both teams to score 61.77% ( -0.97) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.01% ( -1.54) | 39.99% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.64% ( -1.61) | 62.35% ( 1.6) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% ( -1.31) | 18.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.26% ( -2.26) | 49.73% ( 2.25) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.8% ( 0.03) | 24.19% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.47% ( 0.05) | 58.52% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
2-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.22) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.56% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.6% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.32) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 32.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 26 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 20 |
8 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 18 |
10 | GironaGirona | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | AlavesAlaves | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 13 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 12 |
17 | Getafe | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
18 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 9 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |