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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2024 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Girona logo

Valencia
1 - 3
Girona

Pepelu (84' pen.)
Foulquier (26'), Correia (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Savio (32'), Dovbyk (58'), Gasiorowski (67' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Valencia
Thursday, May 16 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 0-1 Villarreal
Tuesday, May 14 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 1-1 Girona

This is shaping up to be a fascinating clash, and Valencia will fancy their chances at home despite their recent run of form. Girona are already guaranteed a top-four spot, and we are expecting the points to be shared in a close match on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.

Result
ValenciaDrawGirona
35.39% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.75% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 36.86% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 48.53% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.66% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)57.34% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.84% (-0.038999999999998 -0.04)78.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)30.79% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)67.07% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Girona Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.88% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.03% (0.012 0.01)65.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 35.38%
    Girona 36.86%
    Draw 27.75%
ValenciaDrawGirona
1-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.71% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 36.86%

How you voted: Valencia vs Girona

Valencia
20.3%
Draw
28.4%
Girona
51.4%
74
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 15
Girona
2-1
Valencia
Stuani (82', 88')
Blind (36'), Couto (42'), Savio (90+2')
Duro (56')
Gasiorowski (61'), Duro (77'), Paulista (90+6')
Feb 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 20
Girona
1-0
Valencia
Garcia (63')
Aug 14, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 1
Valencia
1-0
Girona
Soler (45+1' pen.)
Correia (56'), Gattuso (57'), Vazquez (69')
Comert (52')

Couto (14'), Saiz (44'), Fernandez (45')
Mar 10, 2019 3.15pm
Gameweek 27
Girona
2-3
Valencia
Ramalho (22'), Stuani (83' pen.)
Alcala (88')
Guedes (14'), Parejo (53'), Torres (90')
Gaya (20'), Roncaglia (62'), Diakhaby (82')
Roncaglia (72')
Nov 3, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Valencia
0-1
Girona

Gaya (28'), Coquelin (36'), Paulista (77'), Kondogbia (79')
Pons (48')
Doumbia (30'), Muniesa (39'), Planas (40'), Bono (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid20144247202746
2Atletico MadridAtletico20135234132144
3Barcelona20123552232939
4Athletic Bilbao20116331181339
5Villarreal209653831733
6Mallorca209381925-630
7Real Sociedad208481714328
8GironaGirona208482827128
9Rayo Vallecano206862323026
10Osasuna206862429-526
11Sevilla207582329-626
12Real BetisBetis206772226-425
13Celta Vigo2073102932-324
14Las PalmasLas Palmas2064102533-822
15Leganes205781929-1022
16Getafe204881417-320
17AlavesAlaves2055102432-820
18Espanyol2054111932-1319
19Valencia2037101929-1016
20Real ValladolidValladolid2043131439-2515


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