Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 47%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
29.15% (![]() | 23.84% (![]() | 47% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.08% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.25% (![]() | 42.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.85% (![]() | 65.15% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.38% (![]() | 27.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.85% (![]() | 63.15% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% (![]() | 18.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.49% (![]() | 49.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
2-1 @ 7.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.53% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.88% Total : 29.15% | 1-1 @ 11.06% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.03% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.37% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.28% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.74% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 3.52% Total : 47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
2 | Real Madrid | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 8 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
4 | Villarreal | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 8 |
5 | GironaGirona | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
6 | AlavesAlaves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 7 |
8 | Celta Vigo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 6 |
9 | Leganes | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Mallorca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Rayo Vallecano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
13 | Real Sociedad | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 4 |
14 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 4 |
16 | Getafe | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
17 | Real BetisBetis | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
19 | Sevilla | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
20 | Valencia | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 |
> La Liga Full Table |