La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 28, 2024 at 6pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao1 - 0Valencia
We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia
Athletic would have been disappointed to take just one point from their first two matches, but they are usually a force to be reckoned with at San Mames, and we think that they will make full use of home advantage to condemn Valencia to a narrow defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 57.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Valencia |
57.48% ( 1.07) | 24.63% ( -0.07) | 17.88% ( -1) |
| Both teams to score 43.61% ( -1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
