MX23RW : Tuesday, September 17 08:48:08| >> :60:1082:1082:
Aston Villa logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Villa Park
Athletic Bilbao logo

Aston Villa
3 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Ramsey (4'), Philogene-Bidace (60'), Archer (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Alvarez (25'), Guruzeta (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly between Aston Villa and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: America 1-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Osasuna
Saturday, August 3 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

Following some experimentation in the States, Aston Villa are now set to take their final pair of friendlies seriously, as a new Premier League season nears. In Athletic Club, though, the Villans will face tough opposition, so they may have to settle for a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
40.38% (0.113 0.11) 24.77% (0.026 0.03) 34.84% (-0.13699999999999 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.32% (-0.11 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.17% (-0.132 -0.13)44.83% (0.133 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.82% (-0.128 -0.13)67.18% (0.129 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)55.55% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)25.08% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.193 -0.19)59.77% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.38%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.84%
    Draw 24.77%
Aston VillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.17% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 40.38%
1-1 @ 11.58% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.56% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.77%
1-2 @ 8.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.013 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.96% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 34.84%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Athletic Bilbao

Aston Villa
56.4%
Draw
20.0%
Athletic Bilbao
23.6%
55
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Falcons
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City4400113812
2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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