We said: Columbus Crew 1-2 Aston Villa
We are expecting a competitive match on Saturday, which is exactly what Emery will want at this stage of Villa's preparations for the new campaign. It would not be a surprise to see a draw, but Villa should have enough quality to continue their winning run in friendlies this summer.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 51.58%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 25.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.