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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Jul 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Lower.com Field
Toronto FC

Columbus Crew
4 - 0
Toronto

Camilo Hernandez (15'), Ramirez (52'), Farsi (81'), Rossi (85')
Nagbe (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bernardeschi (45+8'), Etienne (67'), Franklin (86'), Thompson (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Toronto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 1-2 Orlando City
Thursday, July 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-0 Toronto

Toronto have yet to clean up their defensive issues and will be up against a dynamic attacking unit in fantastic form, and we believe they will be a handful for the Reds this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 73.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 9.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawToronto
73.77% (0.23299999999999 0.23) 16.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 9.91% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 48.28% (-0.873 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.08% (-0.671 -0.67)38.92% (0.67 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.76% (-0.709 -0.71)61.23% (0.709 0.71)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.91% (-0.114 -0.11)9.08% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.12% (-0.273 -0.27)30.87% (0.272 0.27)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.11% (-0.89400000000001 -0.89)46.89% (0.893 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.59% (-0.686 -0.69)82.4% (0.685 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 73.76%
    Toronto 9.91%
    Draw 16.31%
Columbus CrewDrawToronto
2-0 @ 12.25% (0.26 0.26)
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.261 0.26)
3-0 @ 9.8% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.067 -0.07)
4-0 @ 5.88% (0.064 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.45% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.82% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.067 -0.07)
6-0 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 73.76%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 16.31%
0-1 @ 3.23% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.22% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 9.91%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Toronto

Columbus Crew
88.5%
Draw
11.5%
Toronto
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
Mar 12, 2023 12.30am
Jun 30, 2022 12.30am
Mar 12, 2022 6.30pm
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Zelarayan (56'), Etienne (65')
Mensah (29'), Diaz Espinoza (82'), Artur (84')
Jimenez (14')
Nelson (64'), Priso-Mbongue (79')
May 29, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 10
Columbus Crew
2-1
Toronto
Diaz Espinoza (12'), Zardes (22')
Akinola (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami28195465412462
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati28164848361252
3Columbus Crew27148552282450
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls29101364537843
5Orlando City28117104541440
6New York City FCNY City28117104137440
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC28108103231138
8Toronto29113153851-1336
9DC United2989124457-1333
10Atlanta UnitedAtlanta2887133640-431
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia2879124846230
12CF MontrealMontreal2879123759-2230
13Chicago Fire2978143651-1529
14Nashville SCNashville2878132844-1629
15New England RevolutionNew England2783163054-2427

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy29167657401755
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles27146750361448
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake28138754401447
4Colorado RapidsColorado2814595546947
5Seattle SoundersSeattle29137943321146
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver27136846351145
7Houston DynamoHouston2812884132944
8Portland TimbersPortland28117105648840
9Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd28116114746139
10Dallas2897124445-134
11Austin FCAustin2897123140-934
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas2977154555-1028
13St Louis City29513114156-1528
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes2852213465-3117


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