Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
58.52% ( 0.25) | 21.46% ( -0.1) | 20.02% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 56.87% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.09% ( 0.26) | 40.9% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.71% ( 0.26) | 63.29% ( -0.25) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( 0.16) | 13.7% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% ( 0.32) | 40.93% ( -0.31) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% ( 0) | 34.1% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% ( 0) | 70.79% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.52% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.34% 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 20.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 62 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 36 |
9 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 30 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 17 |