Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 58.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.