Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Salt Lake would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
46.95% ( 0.7) | 23% ( -0.18) | 30.05% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 62.71% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.78% ( 0.56) | 38.22% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.5% ( 0.59) | 60.5% ( -0.59) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.35% ( 0.48) | 16.64% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.51% ( 0.86) | 46.48% ( -0.86) |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.23% ( -0.05) | 24.76% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.67% ( -0.07) | 59.33% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) Other @ 4.36% Total : 46.95% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.99% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.64% Total : 30.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 28 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 62 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 52 |
3 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 50 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 43 |
5 | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 41 | 4 | 40 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 40 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 38 |
8 | Toronto | 29 | 11 | 3 | 15 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 36 |
9 | DC United | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 33 |
10 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 31 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 2 | 30 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 59 | -22 | 30 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 54 | -24 | 27 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 48 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 55 | 46 | 9 | 47 |
5 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 46 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 45 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 44 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 56 | 48 | 8 | 40 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 39 |
10 | Dallas | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 44 | 45 | -1 | 34 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 34 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 28 |
13 | St Louis City | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 28 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 28 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 17 |