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Sporting Kansas
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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Sporting Kansas

Austin
3 - 2
Kansas

Obrian (28', 39'), Driussi (46')
Cascante (23'), Kolmanic (70'), Pereira (89'), Valencia (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Russell (19'), Davis (63')
Fontas (88'), Radoja (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 1-0 Houston
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 3-1 Sporting Kansas City

Austin have been brilliant at home in their recent outings and are now on the verge of breaking their record for most successive wins at home since joining the MLS, and we believe they will do just that with a victory against an out-of-sorts Kansas. This fixture has provided plenty of goals in their recent meetings, and we expect that theme to continue in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
42.33% (0.394 0.39) 24.19% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 33.47% (-0.407 -0.41)
Both teams to score 60.04% (-0.163 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.58% (-0.16 -0.16)42.41% (0.156 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.17% (-0.159 -0.16)64.82% (0.155 0.16)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77% (0.107 0.11)20.22% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.46% (0.174 0.17)52.54% (-0.178 -0.18)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.31 -0.31)24.73% (0.306 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.71% (-0.435 -0.43)59.28% (0.43 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 42.33%
    Sporting Kansas City 33.48%
    Draw 24.18%
Austin FCDrawSporting Kansas City
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.044 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.99% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 42.33%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5% (0.035 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.63% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.48%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2023 2.30am
Austin
2-1
Kansas
Zardes (17'), Finlay (19')
Cascante (59')
Rosero (33')
Fontas (8'), Vermes (9'), Davis (53')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Kansas
4-1
Austin
Pulido (19', 57'), Castellanos (47'), Shelton (89')
Radoja (61'), Thommy (87')
Driussi (61')
Cascante (52'), Zardes (60')
Aug 14, 2022 2am
Austin
4-3
Kansas
Gabrielsen (68'), Driussi (90+5')
Agade (86'), Salloi (88')
Jul 31, 2022 1.30am
Kansas
0-2
Austin

Duke (39'), Sweat (73')
Duke (43')
Ring (45+1'), Driussi (90')
Cascante (25'), Pereira (38'), Urruti (42')
Nov 4, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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