Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 65.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 14.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.