Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 53.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 22.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.