Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.