Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Dallas would win this match.