Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 15.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.77%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.