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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
Houston Dynamo

Minnesota Utd
1 - 2
Houston

Fragapane (70')
Boxall (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bran (38' og.), Kowalczyk (77')
Carrasquilla (23'), Micael (40'), Kowalczyk (74'), Steres (87')
Coverage of the Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Houston Dynamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minnesota Utd 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-1 Houston
Sunday, April 7 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
45.49% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 29.71% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 56.19% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.29% (0.125 0.13)46.71% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.02% (0.114 0.11)68.98% (-0.113 -0.11)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.4% (0.01700000000001 0.02)20.6% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.86% (0.024000000000001 0.02)53.14% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.13200000000001 0.13)29.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (0.16099999999999 0.16)65.19% (-0.16 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 45.49%
    Houston Dynamo 29.71%
    Draw 24.8%
Minnesota UnitedDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 45.49%
1-1 @ 11.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.8%
0-1 @ 7.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.91% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.71%

Head to Head
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
May 24, 2023
1.30am
May 18, 2023 1.30am
Aug 27, 2022 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Houston
Picault (79' og.), Amarilla (84')
Reynoso (43')
Baird (45+1')
Carrasquilla (37'), Steres (63'), Parker (78')
Jul 24, 2022 1.30am
rhs 2.0
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