Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 46.14%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.