We said: Austin FC 2-0 Sporting Kansas City
Austin FC have been very impressive at home in recent weeks, winning their last two matches at the Q2 Stadium 3-0, and we expect them to record a comfortable victory again this Saturday.
Although Wolff's side did lose to Sporting Kansas City back in April, they are three points above their opponents in the table, despite having played two fewer games.
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Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.